Attacking Pakistan would be folly!

News reports confirm that RAW is planning an attack on Pakistan’s Nuclear intallations. The story doesn’t seem to die down. The Pakistan press is reporting that something is up. Where there is smoke there is fire. The threats cannot be ignored. Apparently the Pakistani security agencies have received credible evidence that RAW is trying to create a flag in Pakistan. The scenario runs as follows:

1) Some nebulous and unknown group makes some outlandish statements about Pakistan’s Nuclear Program.

2) A group of hooligans attack civilians headed towards one of the Nuclear facilities in Rawalpindi or other place.

3) The International media jumps on the bandwagon and blows things totally out of proportion.

4) International pressure is organized to “prove” that Pakistan’s nuclear program is in jeopardy and must be secured by the thugs of the Security Council or other such agency.

Having deliberately fomented extremism and militancy in Pakistan, it is accused of manifold invented allegations. In line with their objectives Indo-US-Israeli nexus has launched a malevolent smear campaign since 2004 and the world has been fed with manufactured stories to portray Pakistan as the most dangerous country in the world. Pak army which is the custodian of nuclear arsenal is neither worried nor has raised any alarm bells or has sought any assistance from anyone for the safety of its nukes. On the contrary it has repeatedly been trying to allay motivated fears of USA and others that its safety system is foolproof. Whatever absurd stories in circulation manifest inner desire of our detractors to somehow steal our nukes. They want Pak leadership to put in an urgent request to take away nuclear weapons before they are lost to the Taliban. It is in line with this fanciful scenario that US analysts concoct bizarre stories and magnify Taliban threat and project our institutions in poor light.

A new story has now come to light that Indian and Israeli trainers in Afghanistan have imparted intense mission oriented training to a band of 750 terrorists belonging to Baitullah’s Tehrik-e-Taliban to carry out an attack on one or more of Pakistani nuclear installations under their direct supervision. Reportedly, modalities have been worked out with active connivance of CIA and dirty bombs have also been provided to the terrorists. The story is not new but has been made more sensational by adding spice of local Taliban and dirty bombs. Suicide bombers have already targeted ISI, FIA and anti-terror police HQ close to NESCOM building. Fake Taliban equipped with sophisticated weapons and technologies provided by their foreign patrons are already waging a war in greater part of NWFP where some nuclear installations are installed. In case such an attack takes place it would not come as a bolt from the blue. The world has already been conditioned for such an eventuality.

The idea is not to steal a nuclear weapon, which is simply impossible given the safety system in place. Real design is to create a sensation and authenticate their stance of vulnerability of Pak nukes and thus achieve multiple objectives. It would facilitate USA to move UN to either intervene and take over Pak nuclear arsenal, or allow US to shift it to a safe place outside Pakistan, or allow permanent placement of IAEA inspectors in Pakistan to monitor nuclear activities and inspect each and every defence oriented building on the pattern of Iraq under the plea of locating and safeguarding nuclear materials. Latter option would inhibit Chinese working in various projects. In case Pakistan resists, it will be subjected to harsh sanctions which it will not be able to bear given the fact that US controlled IMF has provided lifeline to Pakistan. Pakistan’s nuclear programme is a monstrosity for India, Israel and USA, which the trio is overly keen to defang and deprive Pakistan of its deterrence capability. Pakistan intelligence apparatus should further streamline its systems to offset such an eventuality. Pakistan should reassert its declared policy that onus of any attack on its nuclear installation would be entirely on India for which Pakistan reserves the right to react accordingly.

There is precedence of such attacks. Israel attack the Iraqi nuclear plant at Osarik. It also destroyed a Syrian reactor last year. Bharat and Israeli jets tried to bomb Kahuta twice but were intercepted and the attack was aborted. Another attack on Pakistani nuclear facilities would be considered an act of war.

TAKING OUT PAKISTANI NUKES–Attacking a Major Non-NATO Alley (MNNA) and founding member of SEATO AND CENTO

NATO defeat: Why 40 nations Can’t Deliver Peace in Afghanistan. Some lessons learned from Afghanistan and the Hindu Kush

Pakistan has a 10 division well trained and well equipped army, one of the most professional armies in the world. Most of the officers were trained in the UK, USA, and Australia etc.

The army has a centralized control with intense loyalty to the officer corps. More than 500,00 soldiers are in reserve, and like Israel all Pakistani high-schoolers (11th and 12th grades) are trained in basic two year military training called NCC (National Cadet Corp).

The army is armed to the teeth, with local arms production M-16, Kalashnikovs, missiles, tanks, nukes, heavy artillery, F-16s and JF-17 Thunders. They also have one of the best missile programs in the world, better than that of India.”The Regime” consists of the army support, an elected National Assembly and Senate with representation of all the political parties including a heavy and intense presence of the MMA, PML and PPP opposition.

Now to eliminate all this would require a full scale invasion. 400,000 American soldiers and mercenaries (contractors) could not do it in Iraq, which has one fifth of the population and was sanctioned for ten years.Now let us talk about invading Pakistan. Whose army is going to do it? One will need at least two million soldiers to occupy the country partially, and no one in 5000 years has been able to hold it.

Pakistan rebounding from volatile events. It evaluated its dangerous geo political situation as well as a belligerent international atmosphere. The sons and daughters of Pakistan pledged “Never again” and developed a comprehensive strategy to be self-sufficient in her defense needs. It created a Nuclear deterrent, indigenous Al Khalid Tanks and a missile program that is the envy of South Asia. Neither the mercenaries sent from the across the border, not the blackmail can now harm the fabric of the country.

Before the country is attacked many unnamed capitals and cities may go up in smoke, the Gulf of Hormuz would be blocked (ending supply of oil to the world), the Suez Canal would be choked, and many oilfields would be radio active for the next ten thousand years. This would mean the end of life as we know it. MAD (mutually assured destruction is the wave of the future). Any takers?

Peace is the only way. Let us build bridges of harmony and rethink the strategy of war and “taking out nukes”.