Unfortunately Ali Akbar Velayati’s prediction seems unlikely. It is ironic that Tehran is supporting the socialist and secular regime of Asad while the US and Western Europe is opposing it–supporting a motley group of extremists to topple the government.
The Australian newspaper “Canberra Times” gives us some insight on how the future of the Middle East will look like:
“As a Shiite organisation, Hezbollah derives inordinate power from its twin personality: its militia and political activities.
But if the seemingly inevitable fall of the Shiite-aligned Assad regime in Syria destroys the bridge by which Shiite Iran supplies Hezbollah’s weapons, can the Party of God, as its name translates, endure as a serious militia? Similarly, if its militia credentials are dented, can Hezbollah muster enough popular support at next year’s national polls to maintain or even tighten its de facto control over politics and security in Lebanon?”
The Editor of right wing Beirut’s Daily Star, Michael Young, describes the reality of Lebonon: ”Hezbollah’s strategy is to win a parliamentary majority in the elections next year. The party’s intention is to anchor itself in the political system to better navigate through the aftershocks of the Assad downfall, yet everything it’s doing is alarming the Christians whose electoral choices will decide who controls parliament.”
The director of the Carnegie Middle East Center in Beirut, Paul Salem, writes: ”Strategically, Hezbollah fears that if Assad falls and if it loses the ability to resupply itself rapidly and effectively, Israel will take advantage by unleashing another war against it.”
Syria is the latest domino in the ongoing Crusade that began against Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Iran, and Pakistan. This map clearly shows Lebanon as part of Syria. It was later separated as an independent state because it had Christians in it and because it could threaten Israel. Qatar, the tiny Emirate on the Aribian peninsula is punching way above it weight, and may have to pay a heavy price for its adventurism.
The Chinese news agency reports that “Two dozen countries took part with many divergent views. Some like Qatar want to arm the rebels and have proposed an Arab intervention force, France wants to protect so called “Liberated Zones” in the north of Syria. Countries bordering Syria want the refugee crisis addressed urgently and all are frustrated at the lack of cohesion among the Syrian opposition groups.”
All words asking for sanity from Russia fell on deaf ears.
A story in the New York Times gives us a clear hint into what the motivations of the Western powers are.
The NYT reports that “a Saudi charity group will build a container city that can house 10,000 Syrian refugees in Turkey’s Kilis province near the border.” Sound familiar? Similar cities were built in Syria for millions of Iraqi refugees that escaped the war and occupation in Iraq.
More than half the population lived in Pakistan for a decade, and twenty years later they refuse to go back.
A large portion of the original population of Palestine is still housed in tent cities of Sabra and Shatilla in Lebanon and other refugee camps strewn across the Middle East. These refugees will be problem for Turkey. The Saudis have been duped into supporting a so called Shia government and even Erdogan has bought into the facade created by several Western capitals. The real motives for the war on Syria are twofold:
1) To give the Kurds a level of autonomy so that they can continue to create problems for Iran, Iraq, and Turkey
2) To de-link Iran from Damascus so that Tehran cannot support Hizbullah in Lebanon and Hamas in Palestine
In Libya Al-Qaeda was used to topple Qaddafi and brutally murder him. Today it was Al-Qaeda and affiliated groups that killed the US Ambassador who was leading the opposition. According to the NYT “The United States and Britain, meanwhile, pledged more than another $55 million in funding” ostensibly “for humanitarian aid and the civilian opposition” (total US funding is $130 million). As the spies and militants fight the legitimate regime of Syria in Apello and other areas, the Israelis are celebrating.
The Kurdish areas of Iraq are a virtual enclave of Tel Aviv and as Syria breaks up, the same forces will find new bases in the Kurdish areas of Syria. Once Bashar Al Asadfalls, the encroachment from the Kurdish areas of Iraq will spread to Syria and Iran. A large swathe of Turkish territory lies in East Turkey (the rump Ottoman state that extended from Xingiang to Poland). The Neo-Ottomans in Turkey fully realize that Atta-Turk was really Atta-*7%$ and his abolition of the caliphate actually threatened the very existence of modern Turkey itself.
Let us be sure, that Turks realize it–after Syria and Iran, the next target of this ongoing Crusade will be Turkey. Achech was carved out of Indonesia, South Sudan incised out of Sudan (which itself used be part of Egypt), and now Kurdistan will be carved out of the ashes of the Syrian republic. Iraq was to be divided into three states–but leaving them intact ensured that there would be constant squabbling.