News reports confirm that RAW is planning an attack on Pakistan’s Nuclear intallations. The story doesn’t seem to die down. The Pakistan press is reporting that something is up. Where there is smoke there is fire. The threats cannot be ignored.  Apparently the Pakistani security agencies have received credible evidence that RAW is trying to create a flag in Pakistan. The scenario runs as follows:

1) Some nebulous and unknown group makes some outlandish statements about Pakistan’s Nuclear Program.

2) A group of hooligans attack civilians headed towards one of the Nuclear facilities in Rawalpindi or other place.

3) The International media jumps on the bandwagon and blows things totally out of proportion.

4) International pressure is organized to “prove” that Pakistan’s nuclear program is in jeopardy and must be secured by the thugs of the Security Council or other such agency.

Having deliberately fomented extremism and militancy in Pakistan, it is accused of manifold invented allegations. In line with their objectives Indo-US-Israeli nexus has launched a malevolent smear campaign since 2004 and the world has been fed with manufactured stories to portray Pakistan as the most dangerous country in the world. Pak army which is the custodian of nuclear arsenal is neither worried nor has raised any alarm bells or has sought any assistance from anyone for the safety of its nukes. On the contrary it has repeatedly been trying to allay motivated fears of USA and others that its safety system is foolproof. Whatever absurd stories in circulation manifest inner desire of our detractors to somehow steal our nukes. They want Pak leadership to put in an urgent request to take away nuclear weapons before they are lost to the Taliban. It is in line with this fanciful scenario that US analysts concoct bizarre stories and magnify Taliban threat and project our institutions in poor light.

A new story has now come to light that Indian and Israeli trainers in Afghanistan have imparted intense mission oriented training to a band of 750 terrorists belonging to Baitullah’s Tehrik-e-Taliban to carry out an attack on one or more of Pakistani nuclear installations under their direct supervision. Reportedly, modalities have been worked out with active connivance of CIA and dirty bombs have also been provided to the terrorists. The story is not new but has been made more sensational by adding spice of local Taliban and dirty bombs. Suicide bombers have already targeted ISI, FIA and anti-terror police HQ close to NESCOM building. Fake Taliban equipped with sophisticated weapons and technologies provided by their foreign patrons are already waging a war in greater part of NWFP where some nuclear installations are installed. In case such an attack takes place it would not come as a bolt from the blue. The world has already been conditioned for such an eventuality.

The idea is not to steal a nuclear weapon, which is simply impossible given the safety system in place. Real design is to create a sensation and authenticate their stance of vulnerability of Pak nukes and thus achieve multiple objectives. It would facilitate USA to move UN to either intervene and take over Pak nuclear arsenal, or allow US to shift it to a safe place outside Pakistan, or allow permanent placement of IAEA inspectors in Pakistan to monitor nuclear activities and inspect each and every defence oriented building on the pattern of Iraq under the plea of locating and safeguarding nuclear materials. Latter option would inhibit Chinese working in various projects. In case Pakistan resists, it will be subjected to harsh sanctions which it will not be able to bear given the fact that US controlled IMF has provided lifeline to Pakistan. Pakistan’s nuclear programme is a monstrosity for India, Israel and USA, which the trio is overly keen to defang and deprive Pakistan of its deterrence capability. Pakistan intelligence apparatus should further streamline its systems to offset such an eventuality. Pakistan should reassert its declared policy that onus of any attack on its nuclear installation would be entirely on India for which Pakistan reserves the right to react accordingly. 

There is precedence of such attacks. Israel attack the Iraqi nuclear plant at Osarik. It also destroyed a Syrian reactor last year. Bharat and Israeli jets tried to bomb Kahuta twice but were intercepted and the attack was aborted. Another attack on Pakistani nuclear facilities would be considered an act of war.

TAKING OUT PAKISTANI NUKES–Attacking a Major Non-NATO Alley (MNNA) and founding member of SEATO AND CENTO

NATO defeat: Why 40 nations Can’t Deliver Peace in Afghanistan. Some lessons learned from Afghanistan and the Hindu Kush

Pakistan has a 10 division well trained and well equipped army, one of the most professional armies in the world. Most of the officers were trained in the UK, USA, and Australia etc.

The army has a centralized control with intense loyalty to the officer corps. More than 500,00 soldiers are in reserve, and like Israel all Pakistani high-schoolers (11th and 12th grades) are trained in basic two year military training called NCC (National Cadet Corp).

The army is armed to the teeth, with local arms production M-16, Kalashnikovs, missiles, tanks, nukes, heavy artillery, F-16s and  JF-17 Thunders. They also have one of the best missile programs in the world, better than that of India.”The Regime” consists of the army support, an elected National Assembly and Senate with representation of all the political parties including a heavy and intense presence of the MMA, PML and PPP opposition.

Now to eliminate all this would require a full scale invasion. 400,000 American soldiers and mercenaries (contractors) could not do it in Iraq, which has one fifth of the population and was sanctioned for ten years.Now let us talk about invading Pakistan. Whose army is going to do it? One will need at least two million soldiers to occupy the country partially, and no one in 5000 years has been able to hold it.

Pakistan rebounding from volatile events. It evaluated its dangerous geo political situation as well as a belligerent international atmosphere. The sons and daughters of Pakistan pledged “Never again” and developed a comprehensive strategy to be self-sufficient in her defense needs. It created a Nuclear deterrent, indigenous Al Khalid Tanks and a missile program that is the envy of South Asia. Neither the mercenaries sent from the across the border, not the blackmail can now harm the fabric of the country. 

• Pakistan a US ally faced American sanctions and developed its own JF-17 Thunder fighter which will move towards the 4th generation fighters of the world and opens up an export potential worth billions of Dollars
• Pakistan’s JF-17 Thunder Fighter Plane. US sanctions and external existential threats forced Pakistan to go nuclear
• Beyond the Pakistani made JF-17 Thunder Fighter Plane, Chinese made J-10s. When will PAF acquire the J-11s
• Pakistan defense based on missile nuclear deterrent hataf shaheen babar and abdali
• Pakistan’s 500 Al-Khalid tanks have been in production since 2001. Newer generation tanks now being exported via IDEAS 2008

Before the country is attacked many unnamed capitals and cities may go up in smoke, the Gulf of Hormuz would be blocked (ending supply of oil to the world), the Suez Canal would be choked, and many oilfields would be radio active for the next ten thousand years. This would mean the end of life as we know it. MAD (mutually assured destruction is the wave of the future). Any takers?

Peace is the only way. Let us build bridges of harmony and rethink the strategy of war and “taking out nukes”.

Islamabad, 11 July, (Asiantribune.com): It is learnt through reliable sources that Indian and Israeli special services units in collaboration with TTP (Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan ) -–a terrorist organisation– are preparing an attack on one of Pakistan ’s strategic installation in order to achieve multiple goals. Well trained TTP members, around 750, will take part in this attack. Participation of Indian and Israeli units will be confined to supervision of attack and handling post attack scenario.

India has reportedly released funds to TTP for this sole attack which will create a delicate situation for Pakistani military establishment in the world. There is also information that Indians have already planned provision of some “dirty bomb” (radioactive material) to terrorists of TTP fighting against Pakistani military for this attack.

Pakistan army already has been stretched in FATA as a result of carefully devised strategy of drone attacks by CIA which creates hatred for the army and sympathy of locals for TTP chieftain Baitullah Mehsud. It has become evident from the last three drone attacks in South Waziristan that one of them was carried out on a funeral of a TTP leader who was killed in an earlier attack on the same day.

The question here is; does CIA really want to eliminate Baitullah Mehsud and his terrorist outfit TTP?

Circumstantial evidences and confession of Baitullah’s ex-aides (Haji Turkistan and slain Qari Zainuddin) had confirmed that TTP is much more than what appears in the world media (i.e an anti-USA force in reality is a pro-US and anti-Pakistan entity).

Now this latest intelligence about a possible attack on one of Pakistan ’s strategic military sites in which TTP will play a role of foot soldiers has proved beyond any doubt that TTP is foreign funded proxy force operating inside Pakistan to fulfill agenda of Pakistan ’s enemies (read India and Israel led by US).

CIA and its agents in international media are building a case against Pakistani nuclear weapons advocating the notion that these might fall into wrong hands. According to media reports Indian Prime Minister Dr. Manmohan Singh has already said that Pakistani installations are partially under attack from militants.

How this ominous plan will be executed is still not clear but according to reliable sources malicious activities around some of these installations have been noticed. On further investigation by Pakistani intelligence it was revealed that plan of much worse repercussions is under way.

Planning phase of this attack is carried out in Afghanistan where Indians and Israelis are training Afghan forces and intelligence.

During recent operation in Malakand and FATA bodies of dead Afghan nationalists (Most probably trained by same Indian and Israeli instructors) were recovered. It will therefore be no surprise if same Afghan elements also take part in this attack on Pakistan ’s nuclear facilities.

The contemplated attack also puts a big question mark on CIA’s sincerity and credibility since without its active involvement the said plan cannot take off. It may be recalled that the ISI provided information about Baitullah’s whereabouts, at least twice in May 2008, but CIA never attacked his hideouts. Now when Pakistan army has decided to take him out at its own, CIA has suddenly discovered that he is the biggest enemy of US.

Untimely drone strikes have raised many questions about CIA’s intentions in WoT.

1- Is CIA really trying to kill Baitullah for good?

2- If the answer is in affirmative then why now when Pakistan army is there on ground and PAF is carrying out aerial assault much more accurately than CIA’s drones?

3- Why CIA didn’t act earlier when information was passed to it by Pakistan ?

4- Why CIA/US never provided necessary gear to Pakistani forces to trace Baitullah or at least jam his communication system?

5- Why CIA attacked North Waziristan when Pakistan army’s operation in South Waziristan is underway and thereby opened a second front?

Answers to these questions lead only to one conclusion. CIA is protecting TTP to enable India and Israel to accomplish their task.

The high intensity of Pakistani operation backed by PAF in FATA has sent a clear signal to the masterminds who have conceptualised the attack on nuclear instalation that they are running short of time. The CIA instead of helping Pakistan to focus its major attention towards the chief foe Baitullah seemed to be helping RAW and Mossad to buy more time. While Pak army is trying to keep North Waziristan peaceful for the time being in spite of the deadly attack on one of the military convoy, CIA has provoked Hafiz Gul Bahadur, chief of Uthmanzai Wazir tribe by carrying out a drone attack. Gul Bahadur is already very annoyed over repeated drone attacks and suspects that Pak governent and army have a role in it.

It is suspected that CIA is playing a double game by carrying out token drone attacks against strongholds of Baitullah and at the same time is not sparing Gul Bahadur. The idea is to activate all the fronts simultaneously and make the position of army precarious.

All this proves that role of CIA is no different than that of RAW and Mossad.The trio have common objectives against Pakistan’s nuclear program which is seen as an obstacle in the way of accomplishment of US grand designs in the region. The purpose of intended attack on any Pakistani nuclear site, even partially successful or botched, will give legtimacy to their propaganda campaign that:

-Pakistan ’s nuclear weapons are unsafe and can fall into “wrong hands”. hence the need to roll it back or to be taken over by IAEA teams to ensure its “security”.

-Pakistani military is too inept to protect its own buildings and installations.

-National confidence and local support for Pakistani military that had shot up after its highly successfulopeations in Malakand Division will be considerably reduced.

-The situation will be further complicated if Pakistan , after such an attack, try to defend its nuclear program through taking a rigid stand.

-This will provide an opportunity to international media and anti-Pakistan establishments to approach UN and get Pakistan declared as a vulnerable state incapable of protecting its strategic assets physically.

-It will provide an opportunity to further defame and isolate Pakistan on the plea that it is not ready to work with “international community” to “secure” its vulnerable nuclear program.

-It would allow USA to obtain UN sanction for imposing measures on Pakistan to safeguard its nuclear instalations through nuclear inspectors of IAEA as was the case of Iraqi military sites in 1990s.

-This will also give a license to international inspectors (CIA operators always in their ranks) to access every building inside Pakistan on pretext of a possible vulnerable nuclear site.

- Pakistan could be subjected to harsh sanctions in case it resists any UN declaration against its nukes. Pakistan had already gone through similar sanctions in 1990s when there was a virtual ban in international market on selling weapons to Pakistan .

-Currently Pakistan is in process of getting its entire military upgraded under a comprehensive program to be complete by 2019. If sanctions hit Pakistan now, then most of this upgrading will face a halt as a result of ban put on sale of sophisticated weapon systems to Pakistan. India on the other hand would be free from any such restriction and thus would be in an ideal situation to tilt strategic balance heavily in its favour.

-Another dimension to this possible attack is its impact on Pak-China relations in future. Currently Chinese are working on a number of projects along with Pakistani engineers.

If Pakistan fails to protect Chinese technicians on its own soil and in case of any harm or deaths of Chinese in this kind of an attack, it will force China to think seriously about its cooperation with Pakistan .

Indo-Isreali collaboration to destroy Pak nuclear program dates back to early 1980’s. However, each time the duo conspired to execute the surgical strike, Pakistan reacted promptly. The response was so severe that the aggressors had to abandon thir plans. This time Indian plan is much more disturbing as foot-soldiers and logistical support will be provided from within Pakistan so this plan has much more probability of success than what Indians tried in 1980’s.

Stage is set and time is running short for both sides. Some “so-called” local commander of Al-Qaeda in “ Afghanistan ” have already threatened that Pakistani nuclear weapon will be used against US. They are convincing the world that any attack by Al-Qaeda against US can take place either in Afghanistan or in US or even worse inside Pakistan. The idea is to prove that Pakistani nuclear weapons are the most dangerous thing on the planet. (Like Iraqi WMDs were once).

Apart from raising security measure on all nuclear installations, Pakistan must also convey a very strong message through all possible channels that any such attempt against Pakistan ’s nuclear program will have an opposite and much more intense reaction against India and Afghanistan and situation can easily turn out of control and a full blown war can erupt in the region.

Pakistan’s foreign office must become much more clearer and vocal about what Pakistan will do if its nuclear program comes under any attack. Pakistan has already stated its policy in clear terms that in case of any attack on its nuclear instalations, whether external or internal, the onus will be on India alone and Pakistan would respond accordingly. Pakistan has earmarked targets inside India to cater for such a eventuality.

It is time Pakistan must prepare a dossier to present to international media and establishments about Indian involvement in Pakistan ’s North West creating unrest and supporting insurgencies. For the sake of its future generations Pakistan will have to play very carefully but with a vigor and honor and if Pak-US relations are hindering this in future we must have a second thought about these so-called strategic relations.

- Asian Tribune -India plans to attack Pakistani nuclear installations using Baitullah Mehsud’s gang. Published by editor Features, News Jul 11, 2009 By Farzana Shah-Asian Tribune Correspondent in Pakistan