Noticias de Rupia | Nouvelles de Roupie | Rupiennachrichten | ??????? ????? | ???? | Roepienieuws | Rupi Nyheter | ??????? | Notizie di Rupia | PAKISTAN LEDGER | ???????? ????? | Moin Ansari | ???? ??????? | ????? ????? | February 21st, 2009 |
This year has not been good for India–first there was the aftermath of Mumbai, and then India’s worst nightmare came through–David Milliband mentioned the “K” word. To make it worse, he mentioned it in Delhi. To pour salt over the wounds, he Mr. Milliband returned home and said that solving Kashmir was a policy of the UK. From then on it was an avalanche. Richard Holbrooke got appointed as a special adviser on Kashmir and Obama again mentioned Kashmir.
It has been downhill ever since.
This week Delhi got a host of bad news. Slumdog Millionaire won the Oscar and destroyed the carefully crafted image that Bollywood had built for Delhi. The penury stricken, rate infested stereotype of India is back–forget the computer coolies and the “superpower dreams”, its back in the corner of the 3rd world again. In a clear sign of the times Russia once again jacked up the price of the aircraft career it was building. The bill for an additional $700 will not go well for Delhi’s plans for a Blue Water Navy. This was the clearest signal yet that Russia is not really interested in selling the aircraft career to India.
If this wasn’t enough, Pakistan signed a peace deal with the Taliban in Swat. Bharat is very cognizant of the fact that the Malakand division butts against Kashmir. If Swat is under the control of the much hated Taliban this could be worse than the Lashkar which also is really really upset at Delhi for being blamed for Mumbai.
Surely India was not ready for the “change one can believe in“. Obama to unveil new policy: Marshal Plan & end to bombing raids in Pakistan. With the tripling of aid to Pakistan, a robust package from “The friends of Pakistan” and China setting up Nuclear plants in Pakistan, Delhi is in deep caca.
America is in the throes of a depression the likes the world has never seen. It wants to get out of Afghanistan. To make matters worse, there is serious consideration in Washington to let Pakistan run Afghanistan like it did in the 90s. The Pakistan army very cognizant of this want to prove that it can deal with the Taliban and make it work. Hence the deal in Swat.
Swat spells death knell of US defeat & Afghan occupation.The statement by CIA Chief Gates must have sent chills up the spine of analysts in Delhi. He applauded Pakistan for the peace deal in Swat and said that this could be duplicated in Afghanistan. Fixing “AfPak” expedites the inevitable union between Pakistan and Afghanistan
Kabul: The final assault begins-How long can NATO hang on?.It is beyond comprehension that with the economic woes of the USA, the Obama Administration is not working on an exit strategy from Pakistan. Afghanistan: The writing is on the wall. Can Obama read it?.
In a blind orgy of insane hatred the Indian population supported eight years of Bush–just because he bombed four Muslim countries, and threatened a couple of other three of them long time Indian allies. All notion of independence and non-alignment were thrown into the Indian ocean–all under the lure of the ephemeral goal of “Superpower”.
Ahmed Rashid has been part and parcel of General Patraeus’ review of Afghanistan. There are audible painful screams from Delhi at the ”AfPak” construct which does not include India. According to the Obama team Bruce Reidel etc., there is no such thing as “AfPakInd” except for the fact that Kashmir is the main reason for terror in India. What is worse for Delhi is the fact that Delhi has not been invited to the review of Afghan policy.
The new administration does not see “India” as a counterweight to China–rather Hillary Clinton see China as a strategic partner with the US. This new policy and thinking has huge implications for South Asia.
What prompted the spokesman of India’s ruling party, Congress, to recommend that the Bharat Ratna – the “Jewel of India” – be bestowed on George W Bush, we might never know. India has conferred its highest civilian honor on only two foreigners, one of whom was Nelson Mandela.
The Congress politician apparently got carried away on a balmy winter day with nostalgia hanging heavily in the air, as he faced a select audience of Delhi’s elite, who formed the gravy train of India-US “strategic partnership” in the Bush era.
Ironically, even as he spoke last Friday, a delegation was setting out from the United States for India to pay homage to Mahatma Gandhi, the great apostle of non-violence, who inspired Martin
Luther King, who in turn remains a constant source of inspiration for US President Barack Obama.
The bizarre coincidence was driven home when at a special ceremony at the US State Department marking the visit, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said, “India is a reminder that the struggle for civil rights and justice has always been and continues to be a global mission; it knows no borders.”
The two unconnected events underscored the dilemma facing India’s policymakers as the Obama era gets under way. Indeed, it is an extraordinary statement that the first American delegation to visit India after Obama took office should be a “Gandhian” delegation. Is Obama “demilitarizing” India-US strategic cooperation? “Mil-to-mil” cooperation was at the core of US-India relationship during the past eight-year period. In recent years, India conducted more than 50 military exercises with the US. Asia Times. India grapples with the Obama era By M K Bhadrakumar. Ambassador M K Bhadrakumar was a career diplomat in the Indian Foreign Service. His assignments included the Soviet Union, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Germany, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Uzbekistan, Kuwait and Turkey.
America reeling from the rebuff from Kyrgizstan on the air base, was not ready for the rough demands from Moscow. Betrayals, blackmail in Bakiyev cloaking failure as success hiding the defeat declaring victory withdrawing from Afghanistan within 12 months.
With Israel in flux, and the reality of lobbies in Washington, Obama cannot really make peace with Teheran and try to use the Chabahar to Kabul road links that were recently built but are already in a state of disrepair.
India and Pakistan will not be able to accommodate each other’sconcernsregarding terrorism as long as they do not tone down their rhetoric and go for bilateral dialogue in a constructive manner. India has better prospects of eliminating terrorism and saving Indian society from drifting towards ultra-nationalism and religious extremism by returning to normal interaction withPakistan, as existed before the Mumbaiterrorist attack. Pakistan will respond positively because this facilitates its desire to contain extremism and militancy inside its own territory. Dr Hasan-Askari Rizvi is a political and defence analyst.The Daily Times. Terrorism and India’s expanded agenda—Dr Hasan-Askari Rizvi
Neither the bellicose banal billowing of Prime Minister Sing, nor the claptrap of Pranab Mukherjee has in way gained any credibility for Delhi. In fact none of the major players in the world have changed their major policy initiatives in West or South Asia. As far as policy is concerned, nothing has changed–expect for Bharat’s image.
The year 2008 will be remembered by the financial markets as the year when Bharat fell into disrepute and its economic growth tarnished by the major faux pax of the government and the “government in waiting” both of which have come across as war mongering bigots.
Force is all-conquering, but its victories are short-lived. ~Abraham Lincoln In 1821
Solutions to “Obama’s Vietnam”
Kabul: The Final Spring Offensive? End of NATO?
Afghanistan: The writing is on the wall. Can Obama read it?
UK Brig. Smith: “We’re not going to All dressed up, nowhere to go
India has a few blind spots. It does not know about the blind spots. There is no one to show her the blind spots. India, a youthful country overrun by youngsters eking out a subsistence living in the mirage of Bollywood is unable to look at itself with any semblance of realism. A star struck destitute and impecunious populace is proud of evanescent and unattainable trophies, venerating educational institutions it can only brag about (never get admitted to), Billionaires it can worship on statistic charts and luxuries that it can dream about.
Inebriated by blindness towards a the goal of superpower status this populace is unable to see the deep cavities within its boundaries. Young xenophobic India votes for those that are hegemonistic and autochthonous. Its leadership impervious of the needs of the penurious is focused on expansionism and destabilizing its neighbors. It behaves like crack-addicts overwhelmed by blind hatred for Buddhists (the real ones who are not Hindu), Dalits, Christians and Muslims–this leadership doesn’t have a clue of what the white world thinks of Indians– unavoidable supplicators at best and disposable computer coolies at worst!
The Voltaires of India are quiet, too scared to question the carnage. The mighty Indian media controlled by corporatism has become more obsequious than Pravda or Izvestia. Icons of the press freedom like Tehilka cannot survive amid the tough commercial environment. Bigotry sells. Pakistanphobia sells even more. The words of Arundhuti Roy are either marginalized or ignored because she is labeled as a communist.
Yet a pall of gloom has descended on New Delhi’s elite. There is a pervasive nostalgia for George W Bush. The Bush administration officials claimed that the US regarded India as the preponderant power in South Asia and as a key Asian player that would shape up to be a viable counterweight to China militarily. The expectation was that the US would extricate India from the morass of its South Asian neighborhood by arm-twisting Pakistan.
Under constant encouragement from the Bush administration, the Indian elite placed faith in the country’s emergence as a global player. They began working “shoulder to shoulder” with the US, just as Bush’s officials urged. Now, Indian strategists find themselves awkwardly placed – all dressed-up but there’s nowhere right now for them to go.
Three factors have shaken up the Indian complacency. First, Indian strategists seriously underestimated the military stalemate that was developing in the war in Afghanistan and the consequent acute dependence of the US on Pakistan’s cooperation. This may sound surprising, but the knowledge of Afghan affairs remains shockingly poor among Indian strategists.
Two, Indian strategists underestimated the gravity of the global financial crisis that erupted last year. They couldn’t comprehend that the crisis would fundamentally change the world order. Even hard-nosed Indian strategists placed a touching faith in the “New American Century” project.
Three, the Indian establishment failed to grasp what Obama meant when he spoke of “change”. The Indian skepticism about Obama’s capacity to change US policies remained fairly widespread. The Indian establishment concluded that Obama would ultimately have to work within the box, hemmed in by America’s political, foreign policy and security establishment. It failed to see that the US’s capacity to sustain its global dominance was itself weakening and that necessitated radical changes in Obama’s policies.
From this perspective, the past week offered a reality check. The visit by the newly appointed US Representative for Afghanistan and Pakistan, Richard Holbrooke, to the region underscored that Islamabad’s support for the US war strategy in Afghanistan has become critical. The war is at a crucial stage and salvaging it appears increasingly difficult. Asia Times. India grapples with the Obama era By M K Bhadrakumar. Ambassador M K Bhadrakumar was a career diplomat in the Indian Foreign Service. His assignments included the Soviet Union, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Germany, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Uzbekistan, Kuwait and Turkey.
India intoxicated by meager success is blind to real self-portrait of caste infested penury and balkanization. According to the Prime Minister Manmohan SIngh, the biggest threat facing Bharat right now is the Naxalite insurrection which encompasses more than 40% of Bharati territory. Entire swathes of land in the Northeast (7 sisters) and huge chunk of territory from Nepal down to Andhara Pradesh are in the hands of the Dalits, the Naxalites and the Maoists. Half the Bharati army is embroiled in Kashmir with no end in sight. Does this mean that the Bharati army has surrendered? Now to discuss Swat. There is a group of disgruntled people in Swat who want expeditious justice and not be bothered with delayed and cumbersome which was not as good as the older “sharia system” which was part of Swat when it was a state (pre-1969). Bharat has sent saboteurs into Swat to attempt to destabilize Pakistan. This has resulted in the blowing up the Islamabad Marriott and other despicable acts of horror carried out by RAW and their proxies. The deal with the Swatis is to bring back the shariah law which they like and to end the infiltration of mercenaries from Afghanistan, trained and armed by the Indian Consulates in Afghanistan.
Amazingly the militants have been able to avoid and evade Pakistani attempts to hold them. This shows a sophistication that cannot be expected from cave dwellers. Their FM radio also include the latest in FM technology. One many occasions the Pakistani establishment gave the exact coordinates of the militants to the US, but the US did not attack them. This shows a RAW-CIA liaison which has now been defeated.
Bharat was on the wrong side of history during the 80s with it supported the USSR and did not support Afghanistan. It is again on the wrong side of history supporting the puppet regime of Karzai. The USA is ready to withdraw from Afghanistan. AfPak is the buzzword for the inevitable union between Afghanistan and Pakistan. One the US leaves, Pakistan and Afghanistan will control all of Central Asia.
Does Obama have the courage to implement the real solutions to Obama’s Vietnam (Afghanistan)
2009: Obama’s South Asian policy: A Marshall Plan for AfPak
The seduction of the New East India Company overwhelms the senses of those who begin thinking of themselves as a new USA. Has the “East India Company” ever allowed any nation to compete with it and thus eliminate it? The Chinese are smart. Unfettered by the trappings of “democracy” they only allow limited access to the “East India Company”. The Indian nation tipsy by a shrinking $41 Billion call center industry (mislabeled and embellished as the IT industry) does not have the wisdom or the sagacity to see through the game. Too busy cajoling the USA, it has not only forgotten its roots, it is moving towards self-destruction. Like the 18th century India is ready to be pillaged and raped.
Fareed Zakaria in a seminal speech on Indian democracy says that Indian “democracy” is shackled by vested interests and powerful lobbies that place the profits of the few over the profits of the pullulating millions steeped in penury and kept down by caste or religion. Under the facade of a secularism, India remains a conglomeration of opposing conflicts ready to explode like Yugoslavia or implode like the USSR. The BJP orchestrated an attack on the Babri Masjid and demolished it. As a result it unleashed communal violence against Muslims. The BJP used the attack to win the elections. Many Pakistanis are wondering, if this attack on Mumbai is also part of a some sort of plan. RAW facts on South Asia- India fails to occupy countries
More to the point, given the overall fragility of the political situation in Pakistan, a stage is reached beyond which the US cannot “pressure” Pakistan. Therefore, in a change of approach, the US will have no choice but to work with Pakistan. In the coming period, as Holbrooke gradually opens the political track leading to an Afghan settlement, need of Pakistan’s cooperation increases further.
Meanwhile, the revelation that the US Predator drones operate out of Pakistani bases underlines how closely Washington and Islamabad have been working. The US’s acquiescence in the release of AQ Khan revealed the great latitude towards Pakistan’s concerns. The Indian strategists who fancied that New Delhi was Washington’s preferred partner in South Asia are stunned. Clearly, India is nowhere near as valuable an ally as Pakistan for the US for the present.
Looking ahead, Obama’s decision on Wednesday approving a troop buildup in Afghanistan constitutes a defining moment. He has put his presidency on the firing line. From this week onward, Obama’s war has begun. The war can well consume his presidency. Either he succeeds, or he gets mired in the war. Yet, the new US strategy is still in the making. Delhi takes note that it is at such a crucial juncture that the Pakistani army chief, General Parvez Kayani, has been invited to go across to Washington for consultations.
The message is clear: Washington will be in no mood to antagonize its Pakistani partner and Delhi is expected to keep tensions under check in its relations with Islamabad. Asia Times. India grapples with the Obama era By M K Bhadrakumar. Ambassador M K Bhadrakumar was a career diplomat in the Indian Foreign Service. His assignments included the Soviet Union, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Germany, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Uzbekistan, Kuwait and Turkey.
So why not just get out? As always, it’s not so simple. If the Americans pull their troops out, the already shaky Afghan Army could collapse. (Once they lost U.S. air support, South Vietnamese troops sometimes refused to take the field and fight.) Afghanistan could well plunge into civil war, just as it did after the Soviets left in 1989. Already, the Pashtuns in the south regard the American-backed Tajiks who dominate Karzai’s administration as the enemy. The winning side would likely be the one backed by Pakistan, which may end up being the Taliban—just as it was in the last civil war.
Some argue this wouldn’t be such a bad outcome, if the Taliban could be bribed or persuaded to not let Al Qaeda set up terrorist training bases on Afghan territory. According to one senior Taliban leader, a former deputy minister in Mullah Mohammed Omar’s government who would only speak anonymously, some Pakistani officials are urging the insurgents to do something like this now—in return for talks with the Americans. On the other hand, Islamabad could be playing with fire. Given the longstanding ties between the Pakistani and Afghan Taliban, a jihadist state on its border is a threat to Pakistan, too. And here, U.S. national-security interests definitely do come into play. Newsweek. With Ron Moreau and Sami Yousafzai
The Barack Obama team thinks it has invented a new term “AfPak” which refers to Pakistan and Afghanistan as a joint entity and a region. If they they had read Chaudhry Rehmat Ali they would have realized that P-A-K-I-S-T-A-N is an aphorism– the “A” in it stands for “Afghania“. The inevitable union between Afghanistan and Pakistan has been expedited by the two wars in the “Graveyard of Empires“. During the 50s a confederation was contemplated between the two countries. In the 80s, Pakistan was home to half the Afghan population. In the 90s both countries were one with no border controls or passport checks. Today there are more Pakistan-born-Afghans than there are Afghans born in Afghanistan. Karachi is the largest Pakhtun city and most Pakhtuns live in Pakistan. It is natural for Afghanistan to join Pakistan. Old Pakhtunistan stalwarts like Abid Jan now say that the old movement now is working for the inevitable merger of the two countries.
Dollar courting yuan
But there is another aspect in Obama’s new foreign policy that worries India even more. Obama’s China policy renders obsolete the Indian strategic calculus built around the US containment strategy. Hardly two to three years ago, the Bush administration encouraged India to put faith in a quadrilateral alliance of Asian democracies – the US, Japan, Australia and India – that would strive to set the rules for China’s behavior in the region.
According to reports, State Department officials had originally proposed that India be included in the itinerary of Clinton’s current first official tour abroad, but she struck it out. As things stand, Clinton meant every word of what she wrote last year in her Foreign Affairs article that “our [US] relationship with China will be the most important bilateral relationship in the world in this century”.
In a major speech at the Asia Society in New York last Friday before embarking on her tour of Asia, Clinton said, “We believe that the United States and China can benefit from and contribute to each other’s successes. It is in our interests to work harder to build on areas of common concern and shared opportunities”. She argued for a “comprehensive dialogue” and a “broader agenda” with China.
The Washington Post cited State Department officials as saying, “It is symbolically important that Clinton is the first secretary of state in nearly 50 years to intensely focus his or her maiden voyage on Asia”. The story is easily comprehensible. The US needs to have new opportunities to export more to China; it should persuade Beijing to accept a realistic dollar-yuan exchange rate; and, it should convince China to keep investing its money in America. But what is unfolding is also a phenomenal story insofar as a new chapter in their mutually dependent relationship is commencing where the two countries become equal partners in crisis. This was simply unthinkable.
Dennis Blair, the newly appointed director of national intelligence, in his testimony before the US senate intelligence committee on January 22, struck a fine balance when he said,
While the United States must understand China’s military buildup – its extent, its technological sophistication and its vulnerabilities – in order to offset it, the intelligence community also needs to support policymakers who are looking for opportunities to work with Chinese leaders who believe that Asia is big enough for both of us and can be an Asia in which both countries can benefit as well as contribute to the common good.
However, this is precisely where a serious problem arises for India. In the Indian perception, South Asia and the Indian Ocean just aren’t “big enough” for India and China. Asia Times. India grapples with the Obama era By M K Bhadrakumar. Ambassador M K Bhadrakumar was a career diplomat in the Indian Foreign Service. His assignments included the Soviet Union, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Germany, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Uzbekistan, Kuwait and Turkey.
Hillary Clinton recently jilted India and made robust promises to China–reversing the Bush policy of propping up India against China. Rising tides lifts all boats. With China the next superpower (india missed the boat–read Prag Khanna) Pakistan will rise as never before. Bruce Reidel, David Milliband and even Barack Obama have talked about resolving Kashmir. In fact Mr. Holbrooke is actually an envoy for Kashmir under a different name. With Kashmir resolved, a free Afghanistan and an FTA with China, the future is bright much to the chagrin of the Akhand Bhartis. Bharat should pray and work for a strong Pakistan–imagine 160 million angry Taliban types on the border preparing for decicive the 4th Battle of Panipat.
Gwadar to China:- Trade lessons from the 5000 yr old Pakistani Indus Valley Civilization: The Harrappan Trade Corridor within the IVC (Dilmin, Mekan) and beyond is now being resurrected again
Obama’s advisor predicts focus on talks and reconciliation
Dragon encircles peacock
This was rubbed home when Chinese President Hu Jintao arrived in Port Louis, Mauritius, on Tuesday on the final lap of his latest odyssey to Africa. Hu nonchalantly handed out a generous US$1 billion aid package for Mauritius, which India traditionally regarded as its “sphere of influence” in the Indian Ocean. No doubt, it was an audacious gesture by Beijing to a country the majority of whose 1.3 million population are people of Indian origin – at a time when China too faces an economic crisis and analysts say anywhere up to 40 million migrant workers may lose their jobs this year.
Arguably, Beijing regards Mauritius as a value-added platform between China and Africa from where its entrepreneurs could optimally perform. But Hu has convinced the Indian strategic community about China’s “encirclement” policy towards India. A leading Indian right-wing daily commented that Hu’s visit was “anything but ordinary … It underscores Beijing’s relentless thrust to secure a permanent naval foothold in the western Indian Ocean … That, of course, would only come at the expense of the Indian navy, which has been the principal external security partner of Mauritius all these decades”.
It is precisely such hubris that gets punctured by the shift in the Obama administration’s new priorities in the Far East and southwest Asia. A difficult period of adjustment lies ahead for Indian policymakers. India needs good relations with the US. At any rate, the India-US relationship is on an irreversible trajectory of growth. There is a “bipartisan” consensus in both countries that the relationship is in each other’s vital interests. But the US’s current strategic priorities in the region and India’s expectations are diverging. Given the criticality of Pakistan in the US geo-strategy, Obama administration will be constrained to correct the Bush administration’s “tilt” towards India.
Kashmir beckons
New Delhi pulled out all the stops when rumors surfaced that Holbrooke’s mandate might include the Kashmir problem. Obama paid heed to Indian sensitivities. But at a price. It compels India to curtail its own excessive instincts in recent years to seek US intervention in keeping India-Pakistan tensions in check.
In short, New Delhi will have to pay much greater attention to its bilateral track with Pakistan. And, of course, Pakistan will expect India to be far more flexible. Rightly or wrongly, Pakistan harbors a feeling that India took unilateral advantage from the relative four-year calm in their relationship without conceding anything in return.
In a sensational interview with India’s top television personality, Karan Thapar, on Thursday night, Pakistan’s former foreign minister Khurshid Mahmud Kasuri confirmed what many in New Delhi suspected, namely, that through back channel diplomacy, Islamabad and New Delhi had reached a broad understanding on contentious issues such as Sir Creek, Siachen and Kashmir as far back as two years ago.
The Indian prime minister was expected to visit Pakistan to conclude some of the agreements but the Indian side apparently began developing cold feet and it is “sheer bad luck”, as Kasuri put it, that the momentum dissipated.
To quote Kasuri, “If the Prime Minister of India had come when we [Pakistan] thought he would, we would have actually signed it, and that would have created the right atmosphere for resolution of other disputes, particularly the issue of J&K [Jammu and Kashmir]. We needed the right atmosphere.”
In other words, there is always a lurking danger that at some point, Holbrooke may barge into the Kashmir problem by way of addressing the core issues of regional security. The Bush administration had been kept constantly briefed by New Delhi on its back-channel discussions with Islamabad regarding Kashmir. Retracting from any commitments given to Pakistan becomes problematic at this stage.
At the same time, the Indian government has done nothing so far to sensitize domestic public opinion that such highly delicate discussions involving joint India-Pakistan governance of the Kashmir region have reached an advanced stage.
Thus, in a manner of speaking, with Holbrooke’s arrival in the region this past week, the clock began ticking on the Kashmir issue. Pakistan will incrementally mount pressure that Obama must insist on India moving forward on a settlement of the Kashmir problem in the overall interests of peace and regional stability.
And New Delhi will remain watchful. Holbrooke’s visit to New Delhi on Monday was kept low-key. The Indian media fawned on any mid-level official calling from the Bush administration, but Holbrooke was tucked away as if under quarantine. And no wonder; there could be many among New Delhi’s elite who feel nostalgic for the tranquility and predictability of the Bush era. Asia Times. India grapples with the Obama era By M K Bhadrakumar. Ambassador M K Bhadrakumar was a career diplomat in the Indian Foreign Service. His assignments included the Soviet Union, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Germany, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Uzbekistan, Kuwait and Turkey.
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Solution: Fixing “AfPak” expedites the inevitable union between Pakistan & Afghanistan 





http://www.topix.com/forum/world/pakistan
UR Voice is needed…
Every insurgency in India has a 20 year lifecycle. unless they spend extra energy and soon diminish to zero entropy following 2nd law of theromodynamics!!!!! Assam, Mizoram, Nagaland, Manipur, Bodos have run out of their steam. Kashmir’s days are near..they are already writing in such terms “maybe we will come to nothing and your overwhelming forces will win..” the self belief is gone.
The naxals are desparate to talk and they need to buy time. They are in the process of setting up the arms manufacturing workshops in the jungle and want to make some serious money to help them buy arms. All these take time and an attack on them now will destroy whatever they have built up…also many of their founding parents are themselves in deep distress. Also unlike Ulfa who had to listen to ISI as it was sheltered by a pak friendly BNP government the Maoists do not have direct access to ISI. The ISI also does not trust them as there are very few muslim advasis in india which is the main recruiting ground. So though ISI keep pumping money they are not in a position to direct maoist campaigns or targets..resulting in some discordance.
The main source of Maoists arms being Nepal and through UP and North Bihar. Unfortunately both the regions are extremely volatile with communal and caste based politics so the maoists .. depending on low caste hindus do not lways get a free run there.
Thre insurgency no doubt has strong roots in jungles..but it is somewhat restricted by gepgraphy….the foliage hides a lots of activity..it also can hide a lot of state iron fist,
Dirtroad:
Thank you for you your valuable feedback on the insurgencies in 200 districts of Bharat.
We appreciate the input.