The Taliban want to focus on Afghanistan!

http://blogs.reuters.com/pakistan/             This article published by Reuters

We have posted several articles on the “CIA connection….” on the Benazir assassination. Now this is exactly what the Pakistani master spy Hamid Gul is saying………

CIA Connection….Benazir assassination was pre-planned. The Zia model with a twist…

India vs. Pakistan–Gwador vs. Chabahar.

With another peace deal emerging in Waziristan between Pakistan, how long will it take a drone to sabotage the peace in FATA or Swat?

The last “Mayor of Kabul”. Mr. Karzai.“You can call me a US puppet ” controls only 10% of the Afghan territory. Exaggerated claim of US report.

Various warlord control ISAFistan just like  before. This time its the European tribals.

ISAF is at wits end and in a quagmire.

ISAFistan is shrinking because the European tribals won’t venture outside their cantonments.

The new order without Karzai is emerging in Afghanistan! Wither NATO?  

Its been hard to keep up with the moves and the counter moves in the slippery slopes of the Hindu Kush. Conventional wisdom says that there are too many moving parts. Take a few of these for example.

1) Karzai fires Abdullah Abdullah the Northern Alliance leader who heads to Washington.

2) Dostum goes head to head with Karzai in Kabul and announces that he wants to be president. Zalmay Khalilzad also throws his name in the hat.

3) Britain talks with, and trains Taliban without informing Kabul. Karzai is furious. Expels two Britishers (Mervyn Patterson and Michael Semple) saying they were part of the plan to buy off insurgents. “. Karzai criticizes the British and halts the appointment of a new UN Afghan Czar Paddy Ashdown ( a darling of Washington and the UK) which would compete for power with Karzai. 

4)  Kabul blamed the British troops for losing control of Helmand.

“We [Afghans] suffered after the arrival of the British forces. Before that, we were fully in charge in Helmand. When our governor was there, we were fully in charge. They came and said, ‘Your governor is no good.’ I said, ‘All right, do we have a replacement for this governor, do you have enough forces?’ Both the American and the British forces guaranteed to me they knew what they were doing and I made the mistake of listening to them. And when they came in, the Taliban came Mr. Karzai in Devos

It [war] will make a difference when the Americans are clear and straightforward about this fight,” …the US should “mean what they say … [and] do what they say…Mr. Karzai

5) After Pakistan refuses to back America to attack Iran, moves are underway to destabilize Pakistan. A concerted effort is carried on in the media and psy-ops no the ground to smuggle away basic and necessities like what and flour. This deju vu, reminiscent of Liaqat Ali Khan’s refusal to allow the USA to attack Iran. He was assassinated under suspicious circumstances.

6) Benazir is assassinated. Pre-planned rampage burns hundreds of train stations, post offices and thousands of cars. Pakistan’s spymaster Hamid, Gul, and others blame CIA.

7) ISI discovers destabilizing moves, panics and imposes emergency and suspends the constitution.

8) Musharraf , Army and ISI resists pressure to eliminate emergency.

9) Pakistan Army cleans up Swat. Mopping operation underway.

10) China threaten that it will not tolerate “meddling and instability in Pakistan to continue.” Peoples Daily editorial. Headlined editorials in Peoples Daily.

11) Tehran also sends the same message on the same date. Tehran Times editorial.

12) Eviction notices are handed over to the Indians on their airbase in Tajikistan. Several small and large matters signal a chill in Indian-Russian relations. Earlier Russia approves reexport of over 500 RD-93 engines to Pakistan overruling vociferous Indian objections. India may not get Russian Aircraft carrier.

13) Pakistan blames the four Indian consulates, and 13 “information centers” for the destabilizing activity. Musharraf, Kiyani, Soomro and Ansar Burney also echo what China, Iran and Kiyani have said.

14) Iran reports that American pressure for regime change in Pakistan settles down. Under American pressure India yawns at the IPI pipeline but doesn’t quit. China shows interest in IPC (replacing India) in the Pipeline.

15) Three reports from both sides of the Atlantic are made public which essentially paint a very grim picture for NATOs Afghanistan.

16) Gates, publicly rebukes Germany and other NATO members to send more troops to fight in Southern Pashtun Afghanistan. Germany budges with 200 more troops. Canada taking heavy losses, threatens to withdraw if new troops are not sent.The USA send 300 troops, and eventually NATO coughs up 1000 more troops. But for how long?

17) Baitul Mehsud’s policy against Pakistan backfires. Foreign hand withdraws its support. Routed from Swat, Baitul Mehsud sues for peace and cease fire with the army. Army is taking its time to accept the cease fire offer. Mullah Omar apparently wants Baitul Mehsud and others to concentrate on Afghanistan.

18) The Taliban prepares for the much heralded Spring offensive against NATO. Peace deal? “Even before Thursday’s ceasefire, the Taliban’s preparations in the strategic backyard of Pakistan were well underway. This included the isolation of Mehsud and appointing a new team of commanders in the Pakistani tribal areas. Most of the new appointments are Afghans, to signify the importance of fighting a war in Afghanistan rather than in Pakistan. The two main commanders are Abdul Wali in Bajaur Agency and Ustad Yasir in Khyber Agency.

20) A key component of the Taliban’s offensive this year will be to counter the North Atlantic Treaty Organization’s (NATO’s) plans against them and al-Qaeda. Saleem Shahzad, Asia Times

21) Failure and defeat in Afghanistan. Payback for Pakistan. “The prospect of again losing significant parts of Afghanistan to the forces of Islamic extremists has moved from the improbable to the possible.” Afghanistan Study Group. “The greater issue is whether the whole lot of us, the western coalition comprising American and Nato forces, can achieve anything worthwhile. The war with the Taliban is going badly. The rebels launched over 140 suicide bombings in 2007, with numerous attacks in the heart of the capital, Kabul. They have infiltrated many areas of the country, especially the south and the southeast, where the government is weakest.

22)  ”While aid has contributed to progress in Afghanistan, especially in social and economic infrastructure – and whilst more aid is needed – the development process has to date been too centralised, top-heavy and insufficient. As a result millions of Afghans, particularly in rural areas, still face severe hardship. Conditions of persistent poverty have been a significant factor in the spread of insecurity”.Oxfam Assessment

23) “Karzai’s refusal to allow the hare-brained American plan to eradicate opium poppies by crop spraying; his warming up to Musharraf; his refusal to review the decision to expel the two EU and UN diplomats, despite heavy diplomatic pressure from London; his insistence on friendly feelings toward Tehran; his spats with Britain; his pouring cold water on the candidacy of Ashdown (knowing full well it was a joint Anglo-American decision at the highest level) – surely, a pattern has emerged. Bhadrakumar

24) “Today we risk repeating the classic mistake that dooms many counterinsurgencies: a failure to appreciate the difference between tactical success and a winning strategy. The fatal consequence, all too familiar to those of us who lived through Vietnam, is that you can win every battle, but fail to win the war.” Senator John Kerry

 ”If the Afghans don’t want us, why should we stay?”Andreas Whittam Smith:

‘We’re doing all we can,‘ British ministers David Milliband, the Foreign Secretary Karzai

25) Afghanistan fubar: A crumbling alliance? NATO finds 1000 troops for Afghanistan for baby sitting duties. Europeans do not want to play tourist or fight.“In truth we cannot do anything worthwhile in Afghanistan for which the life of a single British soldier should be sacrificed. Britain must make its excuses and leave. After all, Mr Karzai, it seems, would be glad.”Editorial Independent UK.

26) “Britain and its Nato allies are in danger of undermining Afghan president Hamid Karzai by cutting their own side-deals with local leaders.Agreements such as the appointment of a former Taliban commander as the mayor of a key strategic town on the recommendation of the British were undercutting President Karzai’s authority. IISS director general John Chipman warned that the tensions between Nato and the Afghan government were surfacing at a time of “worrying fragility” in the alliance’s commitment to the continuing mission in Afghanistan. “President Karzai lacks the authority to govern in all areas,” he said. “He has sought an accommodation with moderate Taliban as recognition of the fact that they have some political constituency. But he has been frustrated by other ‘deals’ brokered by international allies.” The International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS).

27) “Karzai was hitting back at Washington and London. Make no mistake about it. He was retaliating against a systematic Western attempt to undercut his political stature and his authority. How much of the Western game plan stems from a well-thought out strategy aimed at replacing Karzai is difficult to tell at the moment. But, without doubt, there is an attempt to browbeat him and to discredit Karzai’s own endeavor in the recent period to distance himself from his Western backers. A Times

28) The election for the next president of Afghanistan is not ’till next year, but Karzai may be headed out sooner than later.

SOLUTION: Let the Nato forces withdraw. Hand over the Pashtun areas to Pakistan.Saving the Pashtuns of Afghania from the chaos of Afghanistan. A Pakistan Afghan confederation was proposed and agreed upon by Liaqat Ali Khan and the late Afghan King. The confederation was scrapped after the assasination of Liaqat Ali Khan.